Fiscal Devaluation in a Monetary Union

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Author/Editor: Philipp Engler, Giovanni Ganelli, Juha Tervala, Simon Voigts
Release Date: © October, 2014
ISBN : 978-1-49836-556-7
Stock #: WPIET2014201
English

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Description

Using a DSGE model calibrated to the euro area, we analyze the international effects of afiscal devaluation (FD) implemented as a revenue-neutral shift from employer's socialcontributions to the Value Added Tax. We find that a FD in ‘Southern European countries’has a strong positive effect on output, but mild effects on the trade balance and the realexchange rate. Since the benefits of a FD are small relative to the divergence incompetitiveness, it is best addressed through structural reforms.




More publications in this series: Working Papers


More publications by: Philipp Engler ; Giovanni Ganelli ; Juha Tervala ; Simon Voigts