How to Capture Macro-Financial Spillover Effects in Stress Tests?

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Author/Editor: Heiko Hesse, Ferhan Salman, Christian Schmieder
Release Date: © June, 2014
ISBN : 978-1-49836-172-9
Stock #: WPIEE2014103
English

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Description

One of the challenges of financial stability analysis and bank stress testing is how to establish scenarios with meaningful macro-financial linkages, i.e., taking into account spillover effects and other forms of contagion. We come up with an approach to simulate the potential impact of spillover effects based on the “traditional” design of macro-economic stress tests. Specifically, we examine spillover effects observed during the financial crisis and simulate their impact on banks’ liquidity and capital positions. The outcome suggests that spillover effects have a highly non-linear impact on bank soundness, both in terms of liquidity and solvency.




More publications in this series: Working Papers


More publications by: Heiko Hesse ; Ferhan Salman ; Christian Schmieder