Description

We present a framework to derive the probability of default implied by the price of equity options. The framework does not require any strong statistical assumption, and provide results that are informative on the expected developments of balance sheet variables, such as assets, equity and leverage, and on the Greek letters (delta, gamma and vega). We show how to extend the framework by using information from the price of a zero-coupon bond and CDS-spreads. In the episode of the collapse of Bear Stearns, option-iPoD was able to early signal market sentiment.

People who purchased this product also purchased

Reforming Government Subsidies in the New Member States of the European Union ($18.00)

Strategic Interactions between an Independent Central Bank and a Myopic Government with Government Debt ($18.00)

Vacation Over : Implications for the Caribbean of Opening U.S.-Cuba Tourism ($18.00)

Taxonomy

Bond markets , Capital markets , Financial institutions and markets

More publications in this series: Working Papers

More publications by: Christian Capuano