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Another Piece of the Puzzle: Adding Swift Data on Documentary Collections to the Short-Term Forecast of World Trade

Author/Editor: Narek Ghazaryan, Alexei Goumilevski, Joannes Mongardini, Aneta Radzikowski.

Release Date:December, 2021

This paper extends earlier research by adding SWIFT data on documentary collections to the short-term forecast of international trade. While SWIFT documentary collections accounted for just over one more...



Price: $5.00
A Pandemic Forecasting Framework: An Application of Risk Analysis

Author/Editor: Allan Dizioli, Daniel Rivera Greenwood, Aneta Radzikowski.

Release Date:August, 2021

This paper introduces a simple, frequently and easily updated, close to the data epidemiological model that has been used for near-term forecast and policy analysis. We provide several practical more...



Price: $20.00
Improving the Short-term Forecast of World Trade During the Covid-19 Pandemic Using Swift Data on Letters of Credit

Author/Editor: Benjamin Carton, Nan Hu, Joannes Mongardini, Kei Moriya, Aneta Radzikowski.

Release Date:November, 2020

An essential element of the work of the Fund is to monitor and forecast international trade. This paper uses SWIFT messages on letters of credit, together with crude oil prices and new export orders more...



Price: $18.00
Global Smartphones Sales May Have Peaked

Author/Editor: Joannes Mongardini, Aneta Radzikowski.

Release Date:May, 2020

Global smartphone sales may have peaked. After reaching nearly 1.5 billion units in 2016, global smartphone sales have since declined, contributing negatively to world trade in 2019 and suggesting more...



Price: $18.00