 | Agricultural Market Integration in India Author/Editor: Michal Andrle, Patrick Blagrave. Release Date:July, 2020 We assess the degree of cross-market price discrepancy (a proxy for market integration), its evolution over time, and proximate determinants, using monthly price data for 21 agricultural goods and 60 more...
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| Model-Based Globally-Consistent Risk Assessment Author/Editor: Michal Andrle, Benjamin L Hunt. Release Date:May, 2020 This paper outlines an approach to assess uncertainty around a forecast baseline as well as the impact of alternative policy rules on macro variability. The approach allows for non-Gaussian shock more...
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| Assessing House Prices in Canada Author/Editor: Michal Andrle, Miroslav Plašil. Release Date:November, 2019 This paper assesses house prices in 11 Canadian Census Metropolitan Areas (CMA) using the borrowing-capacity and the net-present-value approaches. The results indicate that by the end of 2018, house more...
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| Assessing House Prices with Prudential and Valuation Measures Author/Editor: Michal Andrle, Miroslav Plašil. Release Date:March, 2019 In this paper we provide tools for assessing the house prices and housing valuation. We develop two approaches: (i) borrowing capacity approach, and (ii) intrinsic value approach. The borrowing more...
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| The Present Value of Corporate Profits: A Forecasters' Survey Perspective Author/Editor: Michal Andrle. Release Date:January, 2019 This paper presents and discusses the estimates of the present value of corporate profits in the United States from 1984 to 2018. To value the expected income stream, it uses the long-range forecasts more...
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| Italy: Toward a Growth-Friendly Fiscal Reform Author/Editor: Michal Andrle, Shafik Hebous, Alvar Kangur, Mehdi Raissi. Release Date:March, 2018 Published in late 2017, the Italian medium-term fiscal plan aims to achieve structural balance
by 2020, although concrete, high-quality measures to meet the target are yet to be more...
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| Italy: Quantifying the Benefits of a Comprehensive Reform Package Author/Editor: Michal Andrle, Alvar Kangur, Mehdi Raissi. Release Date:March, 2018 This paper seeks to quantify the net benefits of a comprehensive reform package aimed
at addressing Italy’s inter-related challenges. Specifically, it simulates the growth and
more...
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| Banks' Adjustment to Basel III Reform : A Bank-Level Perspective for Emerging Europe Author/Editor: Michal Andrle, Vladimír Tomšík, Jan Vlcek. Release Date:February, 2017 The paper seeks to identify strategies of commercial banks in response to higher capital requirements of Basel III reform and its phase-in. It focuses on a sample of nine EU emerging market countries more...
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| Output and Inflation Co-movement : An Update on Business-Cycle Stylized Facts Author/Editor: Michal Andrle, Jan Bruha, Serhat Solmaz. Release Date:December, 2016 What are the drivers of business cycle fluctuations? And how many are there? By documenting strong and predictable co-movement of real variables during the business cycle in a sample of advanced more...
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| System Priors for Econometric Time Series Author/Editor: Michal Andrle, Miroslav Plašil. Release Date:November, 2016 The paper introduces “system priors”, their use in Bayesian analysis of econometric time series, and provides a simple and illustrative application. System priors were devised by Andrle and Benes more...
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