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Growth at Risk: Concept and Application in IMF Country Surveillance

Author/Editor: Ananthakrishnan Prasad, Selim Elekdag, Phakawa Jeasakul, Romain Lafarguette, Adrian Alter, Alan Xiaochen Feng, Changchun Wang.

Release Date:February, 2019

The growth-at-risk (GaR) framework links current macrofinancial conditions to the distribution of future growth. Its main strength is its ability to assess the entire distribution of future GDP more...



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