 | Fiscal Policy Multipliers in Small States Author/Editor: Ali Alichi, Ippei Shibata, Kadir Tanyeri. Release Date:March, 2019 Government debt in many small states has risen beyond sustainable levels and some governments are considering fiscal consolidation. This paper estimates fiscal policy multipliers for small states more...
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| | Multivariate Filter Estimation of Potential Output for the United States Author/Editor: Ali Alichi, Olivier Bizimana, Douglas Laxton, Kadir Tanyeri, Hou Wang, Jiaxiong Yao, Fan Zhang. Release Date:May, 2017 Estimates of potential output are an important component of a structured forecasting and policy analysis system. Using information on capacity utilization, this paper extends the multivariate filter more...
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| | Multivariate Filter Estimation of Potential Output for the Euro Area and the United States Author/Editor: Ali Alichi, Olivier Bizimana, Silvia Domit, Emilio Fernández Corugedo, Douglas Laxton, Kadir Tanyeri, Hou Wang, Fan Zhang. Release Date:December, 2015 The estimates of potential output and the output gap presented in this paper are not official IMF estimates. The
 programs and potential output estimates in this paper can be downloaded from more...
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| | Systemic Risk, Aggregate Demand, and Commodity Prices Author/Editor: Javier Gómez-Pineda, Dominique M. Guillaume, Kadir Tanyeri. Release Date:July, 2015 The paper presents a global model with systemic and country risks, as well as commodity prices.Weshow that systemic risk shocks have an important impact on world economic activity, with the busts more...
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