 | Decoupling of Emissions and GDP: Evidence from Aggregate and Provincial Chinese Data Author/Editor: Gail Cohen, João Tovar Jalles, Prakash Loungani, Ricardo Marto, Gewei Wang. Release Date:April, 2018 We provide a comprehensive analysis of the relationship between greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and GDP in China using both aggregate and provincial data. The Kuznets elasticity is about 0.6 for more...
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| The Long-Run Decoupling of Emissions and Output: Evidence from the Largest Emitters Author/Editor: Gail Cohen, João Tovar Jalles, Prakash Loungani, Ricardo Marto. Release Date:March, 2018 For the world's 20 largest emitters, we use a simple trend/cycle decomposition to provide evidence of decoupling between greenhouse gas emissions and output in richer nations, particularly in more...
| Price: $18.00
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| How Well Do Economists Forecast Recessions? Author/Editor: Zidong An, João Tovar Jalles, Prakash Loungani. Release Date:March, 2018 We describe the evolution of forecasts in the run-up to recessions. The GDP forecasts cover 63 countries for the years 1992 to 2014. The main finding is that, while forecasters are generally aware more...
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| A Narrative Database of Major Labor and Product Market Reforms in Advanced Economies Author/Editor: Romain A Duval, Davide Furceri, Bingjie Hu, João Tovar Jalles, Huy Nguyen. Release Date:January, 2018 This paper describes a new database of major labor and product market reforms covering 26
advanced economies over the period 1970-2013. The focus is on large changes in product market
more...
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| Job Protection Deregulation in Good and Bad Times Author/Editor: Romain A Duval, Davide Furceri, João Tovar Jalles. Release Date:December, 2017 This paper explores the short-term employment effect of deregulating job protection for
regular workers and how it varies with prevailing business cycle conditions. We apply a local
more...
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| Fiscal Stabilization and Growth : Evidence from Industry-level Data for Advanced and Developing Economies Author/Editor: Sangyup Choi, Davide Furceri, João Tovar Jalles. Release Date:September, 2017 Medium-term growth can be enhanced by fiscal stabilization. However, to date, no systematic effort has been made to study the specific channels through which fiscal stabilization affects growth. This more...
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| Emissions and Growth: Trends and Cycles in a Globalized World Author/Editor: Gail Cohen, João Tovar Jalles, Prakash Loungani, Ricardo Marto. Release Date:August, 2017 Recent discussions of the extent of decoupling between greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and
real gross domestic product (GDP) provide mixed evidence and have generated much debate.
We show more...
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| Governments and Promised Fiscal Consolidations : Do They Mean What They Say? Author/Editor: Sanjeev Gupta, João Tovar Jalles, Carlos Mulas-Granados, Michela Schena. Release Date:February, 2017 This paper analyses the causes and consequences of fiscal consolidation promise gaps, defined as the distance between planned fiscal adjustments and actual consolidations. Using 74 consolidation more...
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| How Buoyant is the Tax System? New Evidence from a Large Heterogeneous Panel Author/Editor: Paolo Dudine, João Tovar Jalles. Release Date:January, 2017 In this paper we provide short- and long-run tax buoyancy estimates for 107 countries
(distributed between advanced, emerging and low-income) for the period 1980–2014. By means
of more...
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 | China Spillovers : New Evidence From Time-Varying Estimates Author/Editor: Davide Furceri, João Tovar Jalles, Aleksandra Zdzienicka. Release Date:November, 2016 Until recently, China has been the leading contributor to global economic growth and—since the recent global financial crisis—a stabilizing driver of its evolution. However, as China recently more...
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