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Predicting Macroeconomic and Macrofinancial Stress in Low-Income Countries

Author/Editor: Hans Weisfeld, Irineu E de Carvalho Filho, Fabio Comelli, Rahul Giri, Klaus-Peter Hellwig, Chengyu Huang, Fei Liu, Sandra V Lizarazo Ruiz, Alexis Meyer-Cirkel, Andrea F Presbitero.

Release Date:December, 2020

In recent years, Fund staff has prepared cross-country analyses of macroeconomic vulnerabilities in low-income countries, focusing on the risk of sharp declines in economic growth and of debt more...



Price: $5.00
How Do Member Countries Receive IMF Policy Advice: Results from a State-of-the-art Sentiment Index

Author/Editor: Ghada Fayad, Chengyu Huang, Yoko Shibuya, Peng Zhao.

Release Date:January, 2020

This paper applies state-of-the-art deep learning techniques to develop the first sentiment index measuring member countries’ reception of IMF policy advice at the time of Article IV Consultations. more...



Price: $18.00
News-based Sentiment Indicators

Author/Editor: Chengyu Huang, Sean Simpson, Daria Ulybina, Agustin Roitman.

Release Date:December, 2019

We construct sentiment indices for 20 countries from 1980 to 2019. Relying on computational text analysis, we capture specific language like “fear”, “risk”, “hedging”, “opinion”, and, more...



Price: $18.00