 | Public Debt and Household Inflation Expectations Author/Editor: Francesco Grigoli, Damiano Sandri. Release Date:March, 2023 We use randomized controlled trials in the US, UK, and Brazil to examine the causal effect of public debt on household inflation expectations. We find that people underestimate public debt levels and more...
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 | Monetary Policy and Credit Card Spending Author/Editor: Francesco Grigoli, Damiano Sandri. Release Date:December, 2022 We analyze the impact of monetary policy on consumer spending using credit card data. Because of their high frequency, these data improve identification and allow for a precise characterization of more...
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 | Updating Inflation Weights in the UK and Germany during COVID-19 Author/Editor: Francesco Grigoli, Evgenia Pugacheva. Release Date:September, 2022 The COVID-19 pandemic altered consumption patterns significantly in a short period of time. However, official inflation statistics take time to reflect these changes in the weights of the CPI more...
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 | Inflation Expectations and the Supply Chain Author/Editor: Elías Albagli, Francesco Grigoli, Emiliano Luttini. Release Date:August, 2022 We show that firms rely on price changes observed along their supply chain to form expectations about aggregate inflation, and that these expectations have a complete pass-through to sales prices. more...
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 | Idiosyncratic Shocks and Aggregate Fluctuations in an Emerging Market Author/Editor: Francesco Grigoli, Emiliano Luttini, Damiano Sandri. Release Date:December, 2021 This paper provides the first assessment of the contribution of idiosyncratic shocks to aggregate fluctuations in an emerging market using confidential data on the universe of Chilean firms. We find more...
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 | Assessing Targeted Containment Policies to Fight COVID-19 Author/Editor: Ariadne Checo, Francesco Grigoli, José M Mota. Release Date:December, 2020 The large economic costs of full-blown lockdowns in response to COVID-19 outbreaks, coupled with heterogeneous mortality rates across age groups, led to question non-discriminatory containment more...
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 | Monetary Policy Surprises and Inflation Expectation Dispersion Author/Editor: Bertrand Gruss, Sandra Lizarazo, Francesco Grigoli. Release Date:November, 2020 Anchoring of inflation expectations is of paramount importance for central banks’ ability to deliver stable inflation and minimize price dispersion. Relying on daily interest rates and inflation more...
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 | Worker Mobility and Domestic Production Networks Author/Editor: Marvin Cardoza, Francesco Grigoli, Nicola Pierri, Cian Ruane. Release Date:September, 2020 We show that domestic production networks shape worker flows between firms. Data on the universe of firm-to-firm transactions for the Dominican Republic, matched with employer-employee records, more...
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 | Network Effects and Research Collaborations Author/Editor: Dennis Essers, Francesco Grigoli, Evgenia Pugacheva. Release Date:July, 2020 We study the determinants of new and repeated research collaborations, drawing on the co-authorship network of the International Monetary Fund (IMF)’s Working Papers series. Being an outlet where more...
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 | Dampening Global Financial Shocks: Can Macroprudential Regulation Help (More than Capital Controls)? Author/Editor: Katharina Bergant, Francesco Grigoli, Niels-Jakob H Hansen, Damiano Sandri. Release Date:June, 2020 We show that macroprudential regulation can considerably dampen the impact of global financial shocks on emerging markets. More specifically, a tighter level of regulation reduces the sensitivity of more...
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