 | Cyclical Patterns of Systemic Risk Metrics: Cross-Country Analysis Author/Editor: Plamen K Iossifov, Tomas Dutra Schmidt. Release Date:February, 2021 We analyze a range of macrofinancial indicators to extract signals about cyclical systemic risk across 107 economies over 1995–2020. We construct composite indices of underlying liquidity, solvency more...
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| Real Effective Exchange Rate and Trade Balance Adjustment: The Case of Turkey Author/Editor: Plamen K Iossifov, Xuan Fei. Release Date:June, 2019 There is an ongoing debate in the literature on whether global trade flows have become disconnected from the large real effective exchange rate movements in the wake of the global financial crisis. more...
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| Are Non-Euro Area EU Countries Importing Low Inflation from the Euro Area? Author/Editor: Plamen Iossifov, Jiri Podpiera. Release Date:October, 2014 The synchronized disinflation across Europe since end-2011 raises the question of whether non-euro area EU countries are affected by the undershooting of the euro area inflation target. To shed light more...
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| Improving Surveillance Across the CEMAC Region Author/Editor: Plamen Iossifov, Misa Takebe, Zaijin Zhan, Noriaki Kinoshita, Robert C. York. Release Date:November, 2009 In this paper, we consider the design of the surveillance, and, in particular, the fiscal criteria in the Central African Economic and Monetary Community (CEMAC) with the view to ensuring they are more...
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| Credit Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa—Sources, Risks, and Policy Responses Author/Editor: May Y. Khamis, Plamen Iossifov. Release Date:August, 2009 In this paper, we analyze credit growth in Sub-Saharan Africa over the past decade focusing on the post-2002 rapid credit growth in select countries. We develop regression models of the fundamental more...
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 | The International Financial Crisis and Global Recession : Impact on the CEMAC Region and Policy Considerations Author/Editor: Dimitre Milkov, Rafael A Portillo, Plamen K Iossifov, John Wakeman-Linn. Release Date:July, 2009 The financial sector of the Central African Economic and Monetary Community (CEMAC) has been seriously affected by the global financial crisis and resulting global recession. This note assesses the more...
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| Interest Rate Elasticity of Residential Housing Prices Author/Editor: Plamen Iossifov, Martin Cihak, Amar Shanghavi. Release Date:October, 2008 We examine the interest rate elasticity of housing prices, advancingthe empirical literature in two directions. First, we take a commonly used cross-country panel dataset and evaluate the housing more...
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| Estimation of a Behavioral Equilibrium Exchange Rate Model for Ghana Author/Editor: Elena Loukoianova, Plamen Iossifov. Release Date:July, 2007 The paper estimates a behavioral equilibrium exchange rate model for Ghana. Regression results show that most of the REER's long-run behavior can be explained by real GDP growth, real interest rate more...
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