 | The 2020-2022 Inflation Surge Across Europe: A Phillips-Curve-Based Dissection Author/Editor: Chikako Baba, Romain A Duval, Ting Lan, Petia Topalova. Release Date:February, 2023 In 2021-22, inflation in Europe soared to multidecade highs, consistently exceeding policymakers' forecasts and surprising with its wide cross-country dispersion. This paper analyzes the key drivers more...
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| Second-Round Effects of Oil Price Shocks -- Implications for Europe's Inflation Outlook Author/Editor: Chikako Baba, Jaewoo Lee. Release Date:September, 2022 The pass-through effects of oil price shocks on wage and consumer price inflation vary with the states or structural characteristics of an economy. The effects have declined over time in Europe and more...
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| Fintech in Europe: Promises and Threats Author/Editor: Chikako Baba, Cristina Batog, Enrique Flores, Borja Gracia, Izabela Karpowicz, Piotr Kopyrski, James Roaf, Anna Shabunina, Rachel Elkan, Xin Cindy Xu. Release Date:November, 2020 Europe’s high pre-existing level of financial development can partly account for the relatively smaller reach of fintech payment and lending activities compared to some other regions. But fintech more...
| Price: $18.00
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| How Should Credit Gaps Be Measured? An Application to European Countries Author/Editor: Chikako Baba, Salvatore Dell'Erba, Enrica Detragiache, Olamide Harrison, Aiko Mineshima, Anvar Musayev, Asghar Shahmoradi. Release Date:January, 2020 Assessing when credit is excessive is important to understand macro-financial vulnerabilities and guide macroprudential policy. The Basel Credit Gap (BCG) – the deviation of the credit-to-GDP ratio more...
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| Macroprudential Stress Tests and Policies: Searching for Robust and Implementable Frameworks Author/Editor: Ron Anderson, Jon Danielsson, Chikako Baba, Udaibir S Das, Heedon Kang, Miguel A Segoviano Basurto. Release Date:September, 2018 Macroprudential stress testing (MaPST) is becoming firmly embedded in the post-crisis policy-frameworks of financial-sectors around the world. MaPSTs can offer quantitative, forward-looking more...
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 | Macroeconomic Vulnerabilities Stemming from the Global Economic Crisis: The Case of Swaziland Author/Editor: Olivier Basdevant, Chikako Baba, Borislava Mircheva. Release Date:December, 2011 Swaziland has faced a significant fiscal crisis since 2010, in the wake of loss of transfers from the Southern African Customs Union (SACU). The fiscal crisis has led to increasing vulnerabilities, more...
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| Effectiveness of Capital Controls in Selected Emerging Markets in the 2000's Author/Editor: Chikako Baba, Annamaria Kokenyne. Release Date:December, 2011 This paper estimates the effectiveness of capital controls in response to inflow surges in Brazil, Colombia, Korea, and Thailand in the 2000s. Controls are generally associated with a decrease in more...
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| Predicting Recessions : A New Approach for Identifying Leading Indicators and Forecast Combinations Author/Editor: Turgut Kisinbay, Chikako Baba. Release Date:October, 2011 This study proposes a data-based algorithm to select a subset of indicators from a large data set with a focus on forecasting recessions. The algorithm selects leading indicators of recessions based more...
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 | The Effectiveness of Capital Controls and Prudential Policies in Managing Large Inflows Author/Editor: Karl F Habermeier, Annamaria Kokenyne, Chikako Baba. Release Date:August, 2011 Staff Discussion Notes showcase the latest policy-related analysis and research being developed by individual IMF staff and are published to elicit comment and to further debate. These papers are more...
| Price: $10.00
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