 | Climate Change in South Asia: Further Need for Mitigation and Adaptation Author/Editor: Ruchir Agarwal, Vybhavi Balasundharam, Patrick Blagrave, Eugenio M Cerutti, Ragnar Gudmundsson, Racha Mousa. Release Date:August, 2021 The South Asia region is both a large contributor to climate change and also one of the regions most vulnerable to climate change. This paper provides an overview of the region's vulnerabilities, more...
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| Enhancing Fiscal Transparency and Reporting in India Author/Editor: Patrick Blagrave, Fabien Gonguet. Release Date:November, 2020 Current fiscal transparency and reporting practices in India place it behind most peer G20 economies, implying that policy makers are lacking critical data to ground their fiscal and other economic more...
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| India's Inflation Process Before and After Flexible Inflation Targeting Author/Editor: Patrick Blagrave, Weicheng Lian. Release Date:November, 2020 We study the inflation process in India, focusing on the periods before and after the adoption of flexible inflation-forecast targeting (FIT) in India. Our analysis uses several approaches including more...
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| Agricultural Market Integration in India Author/Editor: Michal Andrle, Patrick Blagrave. Release Date:July, 2020 We assess the degree of cross-market price discrepancy (a proxy for market integration), its evolution over time, and proximate determinants, using monthly price data for 21 agricultural goods and 60 more...
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| Inflation Co-Movement in Emerging and Developing Asia: The Monsoon Effect Author/Editor: Patrick Blagrave. Release Date:July, 2019 Co-movement (synchronicity) in inflation rates among a set of 13 emerging and developing countries in Asia is shown to be strongest for the food component, partly due to common rainfall shocks—a more...
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| Cross-Border Transmission of Fiscal Shocks: The Role of Monetary Conditions Author/Editor: Patrick Blagrave, Giang Ho, Ksenia Koloskova, Esteban Vesperoni. Release Date:May, 2018 Fiscal stimulus was widely advocated during the global crisis, a period characterized by monetary policy constrained by the effective lower bound (ELB) in many countries, in part because of expected more...
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 | Fiscal Spillovers: The Importance of Macroeconomic and Policy Conditions in Transmission : The Importance of Macroeconomic and Policy Conditions in Transmission Release Date:October, 2017 Are fiscal spillovers today as large as they were during the global financial crisis? How do they depend on economic and policy conditions? This note informs the debate on the cross-border impact of more...
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| Labor Force Participation in Chile : Recent Trends, Drivers, and Prospects Author/Editor: Patrick Blagrave, Marika Santoro. Release Date:March, 2017 Gains in labor force participation rates in Chile have slowed in recent years. We examine their determinants using a cohort-model analysis. Allowing for both age- and cohort-specific effects in the more...
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| Estimating Potential Output in Chile : A Multivariate Filter for Mining and Non-Mining Sectors Author/Editor: Patrick Blagrave, Marika Santoro. Release Date:October, 2016 Using a multivariate filter, we estimate potential growth rates in Chile’s mining and non-mining sectors. Estimates for the mining sector incorporate information on copper prices, whereas estimates more...
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| Spillover Implications of China's Slowdown for International Trade Author/Editor: Patrick Blagrave, Esteban Vesperoni. Release Date:September, 2016 Using a panel vector autoregression and a novel measure of export-intensity-adjusted final demand, this note studies spillovers from China’s economic transition on export growth in 46 advanced and more...
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