 | Another Piece of the Puzzle: Adding Swift Data on Documentary Collections to the Short-Term Forecast of World Trade Author/Editor: Narek Ghazaryan, Alexei Goumilevski, Joannes Mongardini, Aneta Radzikowski. Release Date:December, 2021 This paper extends earlier research by adding SWIFT data on documentary collections to the short-term forecast of international trade. While SWIFT documentary collections accounted for just over one more...
| Price: $5.00
| | Improving the Short-term Forecast of World Trade During the Covid-19 Pandemic Using Swift Data on Letters of Credit Author/Editor: Benjamin Carton, Nan Hu, Joannes Mongardini, Kei Moriya, Aneta Radzikowski. Release Date:November, 2020 An essential element of the work of the Fund is to monitor and forecast international trade. This paper uses SWIFT messages on letters of credit, together with crude oil prices and new export orders more...
| Price: $18.00
| | Global Smartphones Sales May Have Peaked Author/Editor: Joannes Mongardini, Aneta Radzikowski. Release Date:May, 2020 Global smartphone sales may have peaked. After reaching nearly 1.5 billion units in 2016, global smartphone sales have since declined, contributing negatively to world trade in 2019 and suggesting more...
| Price: $18.00
| | Labor Market Slack and the Output Gap: The Case of Korea Author/Editor: Niels-Jakob H Hansen, Joannes Mongardini, Fan Zhang. Release Date:August, 2019 Output gap estimates are widely used to inform macroeconomic policy decisions, including in Korea. The main determinant of these estimates is the measure of labor market slack. The traditional more...
| Price: $18.00
| | A New Smartphone for Every Fifth Person on Earth: Quantifying the New Tech Cycle Author/Editor: Benjamin Carton, Joannes Mongardini, Yiqun Li. Release Date:January, 2018 The enormous global demand for smartphones in recent years has created a new global tech cycle. In 2016 alone, global smartphone sales reached close to 1.5 billion, one for every fifth person on more...
| Price: $18.00
|  | Macroeconomic Management When Policy Space is Constrained : A Comprehensive, Consistent and Coordinated Approach to Economic Policy Author/Editor: Vitor Gaspar, Maurice Obstfeld, Ratna Sahay, Douglas Laxton, Dennis P Botman, Kevin Clinton, Romain A Duval, Kotaro Ishi, Zoltan Jakab, Laura Jaramillo, Constant A Lonkeng Ngouana, Tommaso Mancini Griffoli, Joannes Mongardini, Susanna Mursula, Erlend Nier, Yulia Ustyugova, Hou Wang, Oliver Wuensch. Release Date:September, 2016 The recovery in GDP growth since the global financial crisis has been halting and weak. Concern is widespread that countercyclical policies have run out of space or lack the power to raise growth or more...
| Price: $10.00
| | Reflating Japan : Time to Get Unconventional? Author/Editor: Elif Arbatli, Dennis P J Botman, Kevin Clinton, Pietro Cova, Vitor Gaspar, Zoltan Jakab, Douglas Laxton, Constant Lonkeng Ngouana, Joannes Mongardini, Hou Wang. Release Date:August, 2016 Japan has ambitious economic goals: 3 percent nominal growth; 2 percent inflation; and a primary budget surplus. Abenomics has employed the three arrows of monetary, fiscal and structural policies, more...
| Price: $18.00
| | Mitigating the Deadly Embrace in Financial Cycles : Countercyclical Buffers and Loan-to-Value Limits Author/Editor: Jaromir Benes, Douglas Laxton, Joannes Mongardini. Release Date:April, 2016 This paper presents a new version of MAPMOD (Mark II) to study the effectiveness of macroprudential regulations. We extend the original model by explicitly modeling the housing market. We show how more...
| Price: $18.00
|  | Building a Common Future in Southern Africa Release Date:April, 2013 The Southern African Customs Union (SACU) is the oldest customs union in the world, with significant opportunities ahead for creating higher economic growth and increased welfare benefits to the more...
| Price: $30.00
| | The Design of Fiscal Adjustment Strategies in Botswana, Lesotho, Namibia, and Swaziland Author/Editor: Luis-Felipe Zanna, Olivier Basdevant, Susan Yang, Genevieve Verdier, Joannes Mongardini, Borislava Mircheva, Dalmacio Benicio. Release Date:November, 2011 Botswana, Lesotho, Namibia, and Swaziland face the serious challenge of adjusting not only to lower Southern Africa Customs Union (SACU) transfers because of the global economic crisis, but also to a more...
| Price: $18.00
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