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Macroeconomic Effects of Reforms on Three Diverse Oil Exporters: Russia, Saudi Arabia, and the UK

Author/Editor: Samya Beidas-Strom, Marco Lorusso.

Release Date:October, 2019

We build and estimate open economy two-bloc DSGE models to study the transmission and impact of shocks in Russia, Saudi Arabia and the United Kingdom. After accounting for country-specific fiscal and more...



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What has happened to Sub-Regional Public Sector Efficiency in England since the Crisis?

Author/Editor: Samya Beidas-Strom.

Release Date:February, 2017

This paper estimates public sector service efficiency in England at the sub-regional level, studying changes post crisis during the large fiscal consolidation effort. It finds that despite the more...



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Trading on Their Terms? Commodity Exporters in the Aftermath of the Commodity Boom

Author/Editor: Aqib Aslam, Samya Beidas-Strom, Rudolfs Bems, Oya Celasun, Sinem Kiliç Çelik, Zsoka Koczan.

Release Date:February, 2016

Commodity prices have declined sharply over the past three years, and output growth has
 slowed considerably among countries that are net exporters of commodities. A critical
 more...



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Forecasting the Nominal Brent Oil Price with VARs—One Model Fits All?

Author/Editor: Benjamin Beckers, Samya Beidas-Strom.

Release Date:November, 2015

We carry out an ex post assessment of popular models used to forecast oil prices and propose a host of alternative VAR models based on traditional global macroeconomic and oil market aggregates. more...



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Oil Price Volatility and the Role of Speculation

Author/Editor: Samya Beidas-Strom, Andrea Pescatori.

Release Date:December, 2014

How much does speculation contribute to oil price volatility? We revisit this contentious question by estimating a sign-restricted structural vector autoregression (SVAR). First, using a simple more...



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Gulf Cooperation Council Countries (GCC) : Enhancing Economic Outcomes in an Uncertain Global Economy

Author/Editor: Samya Beidas-Strom, Tobias N Rasmussen, David Robinson.

Release Date:October, 2011

Departmental papers are usually focused on a specific economic topic, country, or region. They are prepared in a timely way to support the outreach needs of the IMF’s area and functional more...



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Are Middle Eastern Current Account Imbalances Excessive?

Author/Editor: Paul Cashin, Samya Beidas-Strom.

Release Date:August, 2011

Employing a dynamic panel regression, this study estimates the medium-term current account position for three subgroups of emerging market and developing countries with shared economic more...



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An Estimated Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model of the Jordanian Economy

Author/Editor: Tigran Poghosyan, Samya Beidas-Strom.

Release Date:February, 2011

This paper presents and estimates a small open economy dynamic stochastic general-equilibrium model (DSGE) for the Jordanian economy. The model features nominal and real rigidities, imperfect more...



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The Housing Cycle in Emerging Middle Eastern Economies and its Macroeconomic Policy Implications

Author/Editor: Samya Beidas-Strom, Weicheng Lian, Ashwaq Maseeh.

Release Date:December, 2009

This paper examines housing finance and housing price dynamics in selected emerging Middle Eastern economies over the past two decades. It finds that (i) mortgage markets have experienced rapid more...



Price: $18.00