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Estimates of Potential Output and the Neutral Rate for the U.S. Economy

Author/Editor: Ali Alichi, Rania A Al-Mashat, Hayk Avetisyan, Jaromir Benes, Olivier Bizimana, Aram Butavyan, Robert Ford, Narek Ghazaryan, Vahagn Grigoryan, Mane Harutyunyan, Anahit Hovhannisyan, Edgar Hovhannisyan, Hayk Karapetyan, Mariam Kharaishvili, Douglas Laxton, Akaki Liqokeli, Karolina Matikyan, Gevorg Minasyan, Shalva Mkhatrishvili, Armen Nurbekyan, Andrei Orlov, Babken Pashinyan, Garik Petrosyan, Yekaterina Rezepina, Aleksandr Shirkhanyan, Tamta Sopromadze, Lusine Torosyan, Erik Vardanyan, Hou Wang, Jiaxiong Yao.

Release Date:July, 2018

Estimates of potential output and the neutral short-term interest rate play important roles in policy making. However, such estimates are associated with significant uncertainty and subject to more...



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Inflation-Forecast Targeting for India : An Outline of the Analytical Framework

Author/Editor: Jaromir Benes, Kevin Clinton, Asish George, Joice John, Ondra Kamenik, Douglas Laxton, Pratik Mitra, G V Nadhanael, Hou Wang, Fan Zhang.

Release Date:February, 2017

India formally adopted flexible inflation targeting (FIT) in June 2016 to place price stability, defined in terms of a target CPI inflation, as the primary objective of monetary policy. In this more...



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Quarterly Projection Model for India : Key Elements and Properties

Author/Editor: Jaromir Benes, Kevin Clinton, Asish George, Pranav Gupta, Joice John, Ondra Kamenik, Douglas Laxton, Pratik Mitra, G V Nadhanael, Rafael Portillo, Hou Wang, Fan Zhang.

Release Date:February, 2017

This paper outlines the key features of the production version of the quarterly projection model (QPM), which is a forward-looking open-economy gap model, calibrated to represent the Indian case, for more...



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Mitigating the Deadly Embrace in Financial Cycles : Countercyclical Buffers and Loan-to-Value Limits

Author/Editor: Jaromir Benes, Douglas Laxton, Joannes Mongardini.

Release Date:April, 2016

This paper presents a new version of MAPMOD (Mark II) to study the effectiveness of macroprudential regulations. We extend the original model by explicitly modeling the housing market. We show how more...



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Frontiers of Monetary Policymaking: Adding the Exchange Rate as a Tool to Combat Deflationary Risks in the Czech Republic

Author/Editor: Ali Alichi, Jaromir Benes, Joshua Felman, Irene Feng, Charles Freedman, Douglas Laxton, Evan Tanner, David Vavra, Hou Wang.

Release Date:April, 2015

The paper first describes how the Czech National Bank (CNB) moved gradually from a fixed exchange rate regime to the frontiers of Inflation-Forecast Targeting. It then focuses on the CNB’s recent more...



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Financial Crises in DSGE Models: Selected Applications of MAPMOD

Author/Editor: Jaromir Benes, Michael Kumhof, Douglas Laxton.

Release Date:April, 2014

This paper, together with a technical companion paper, presents MAPMOD, a new IMF model designed to study vulnerabilities associated with excessive credit expansions, and to support macroprudential more...



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Financial Crises in DSGE Models: A Prototype Model

Author/Editor: Jaromir Benes, Michael Kumhof, Douglas Laxton.

Release Date:April, 2014

This paper presents the theoretical structure of MAPMOD, a new IMF model designed to study vulnerabilities associated with excessive credit expansions, and to support macroprudential policy analysis. more...



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The Benefits of International Policy Coordination Revisited

Author/Editor: Jaromir Benes, Michael Kumhof, Douglas Laxton, Dirk Muir, Susanna Mursula.

Release Date:December, 2013

This paper uses two of the IMF’s DSGE models to simulate the benefits of international fiscal and macroprudential policy coordination. The key argument is that these two policies are similar in more...



Price: $18.00
System Priors: Formulating Priors about DSGE Models' Properties

Author/Editor: Michal Andrle, Jaromir Benes.

Release Date:December, 2013

This paper proposes a novel way of formulating priors for estimating economic models. System priors are priors about the model's features and behavior as a system, such as the sacrifice ratio or the more...



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Evaluating the Net Benefits of Macroprudential Policy: A Cookbook

Author/Editor: Nicolas Arregui, Jaromir Benes, Ivo Krznar, Srobona Mitra, Andre Santos.

Release Date:July, 2013

The paper proposes a simple, new, analytical framework for assessing the cost and benefits of macroprudential policies. It proposes a measure of net benefits in terms of parameters that can be more...



Price: $18.00
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