 | Information Rigidities: Comparing Average and Individual Forecasts for a Large International Panel Author/Editor: Jonas Dovern, Ulrich Fritsche, Prakash Loungani, Natalia T. Tamirisa. Release Date:February, 2014 We study forecasts for real GDP growth using a large panel of individual forecasts from 36 advanced and emerging economies during 1989–2010. We show that the degree of information rigidity in more...
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| Information Rigidity in Growth Forecasts : Some Cross-Country Evidence Author/Editor: Natalia T. Tamirisa, Prakash Loungani, Herman O. Stekler. Release Date:June, 2011 We document information rigidity in forecasts for real GDP growth in 46 countries over the past two decades. We investigate: (i) if rigidities are lower around turning points in the economy, such as more...
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| International Transmission of Bank and Corporate Distress Author/Editor: Papa M'B. P. N'Diaye, Dale F. Gray, Natalia T. Tamirisa, Hiroko Oura, Qianying Chen. Release Date:May, 2010 The paper evaluates how increases in banks’ and nonfinancial corporates’ default risk are transmitted in the global economy, using in a vector autoregression model for 30 advanced and more...
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| Three Cycles : Housing, Credit, and Real Activity Author/Editor: Natalia T. Tamirisa, Alain N. Kabundi, Deniz Igan, Francisco Nadal De Simone, Marcelo Pinheiro. Release Date:October, 2009 We examine the characteristics and comovement of cycles in house prices, credit, real activity and interest rates in advanced economies during the past 25 years, using a dynamic generalized factor more...
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| Are Weak Banks Leading Credit Booms? Evidence from Emerging Europe Author/Editor: Deniz Igan, Natalia T. Tamirisa. Release Date:September, 2008 This paper examines the behavior of bank soundness indicators during episodes of brisk loan growth, using bank-level data for central and eastern Europe and controlling for the feedback effect of more...
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| Do Macroeconomic Effects of Capital Controls Vary by their Type? Evidence From Malaysia Release Date:January, 2004 This paper examines how the macroeconomic effects of capital controls vary depending on which type of international financial transaction they cover. Drawing on Malaysia's experiences in regulating more...
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| Africa's Trade Revisted Release Date:March, 2001 The popular impression that Africa has not integrated into world trade, as suggested by the evolution in simple indicators, has been called into question recently by more formal analysis. This paper more...
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