 | Commercial Real Estate in Crisis: Evidence from Transaction-Level Data Author/Editor: Adrian Alter, Elizabeth M Mahoney, Cristian Badarinza. Release Date:January, 2023 During the past two decades, the commercial real estate (CRE) market has been impacted by major disruptions, including the global financial crisis and the Covid-19 pandemic. Using granular data from more...
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 | Informality, Development, and the Business Cycle in North Africa Author/Editor: Roberto Cardarelli, Hippolyte W Balima, Chiara Maggi, Adrian Alter, Jérôme Vacher, Matthew Gaertner, Olivier Bizimana, Azhin Abdulkarim, Karim Badr, Shant Arzoumanian, Mahmoud Harb, Mariam El Hamiani Khatat, Priscilla S Muthoora, Aymen Belgacem. Release Date:June, 2022 North African economies are characterized by a significant share of informal activity and employment. About two-thirds of workers in North Africa operate without any formal arrangement and social more...
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 | Non-Primary Home Buyers, Shadow Banking, and the US Housing Market Author/Editor: Adrian Alter, Zaki Dernaoui. Release Date:August, 2020 This paper studies the US housing market using a proprietary and comprehensive dataset covering nearly 90 million residential transactions over 1998–2018. First, we document the evolution of more...
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 | Household Debt and House Prices-at-risk: A Tale of Two Countries Author/Editor: Adrian Alter, Elizabeth M Mahoney. Release Date:February, 2020 To identify and quantify downside risks to housing markets, we apply the house price-at-risk methodology to a sample of 37 cities across the United States and Canada using quarterly data from 1983 to more...
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 | Digging Deeper--Evidence on the Effects of Macroprudential Policies from a New Database Author/Editor: Zohair Alam, Adrian Alter, Jesse Eiseman, R G Gelos, Heedon Kang, Machiko Narita, Erlend Nier, Naixi Wang. Release Date:March, 2019 This paper introduces a new comprehensive database of macroprudential policies, which combines information from various sources and covers 134 countries from January 1990 to December 2016. Using more...
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 | Growth at Risk: Concept and Application in IMF Country Surveillance Author/Editor: Ananthakrishnan Prasad, Selim Elekdag, Phakawa Jeasakul, Romain Lafarguette, Adrian Alter, Alan Xiaochen Feng, Changchun Wang. Release Date:February, 2019 The growth-at-risk (GaR) framework links current macrofinancial conditions to the distribution of future growth. Its main strength is its ability to assess the entire distribution of future GDP more...
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 | House Price Synchronicity, Banking Integration, and Global Financial Conditions Author/Editor: Adrian Alter, Jane Dokko, Dulani Seneviratne. Release Date:November, 2018 We examine the relationship between house price synchronicity and global financial conditions across 40 countries and about 70 cities over the past three decades. The role played by cross-border more...
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 | Understanding the Macro-Financial Effects of Household Debt: A Global Perspective Author/Editor: Adrian Alter, Alan Xiaochen Feng, Nico Valckx. Release Date:April, 2018 We confirm the negative relationship between household debt and future GDP growth
documented in Mian, Sufi, and Verner (2017) for a wider set of countries over the period
1950–2016. more...
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 | Emerging Market Corporate Leverage and Global Financial Conditions Author/Editor: Adrian Alter, Selim Elekdag. Release Date:December, 2016 Corporate debt in emerging markets has risen significantly in recent years amid accommodative global financial conditions. This paper studies the relationship of leverage growth in emerging market more...
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 | Public Investment in a Developing Country Facing Resource Depletion Author/Editor: Adrian Alter, Matteo Ghilardi, Dalia Hakura. Release Date:November, 2015 This paper analyzes the tradeoffs between savings, debt and public investment in the Republic of
 Congo, a developing country with looming oil exhaustibility concerns. Our results highlight more...
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