 | European Housing Markets at a Turning Point – Risks, Household and Bank Vulnerabilities, and Policy Options Author/Editor: Laura Valderrama, Patrik Gorse, Marina Marinkov, Petia Topalova. Release Date:March, 2023 European housing markets are at a turning point as the cost-of-living crisis has eroded real incomes and the surge in interest rates has made borrowers more vulnerable to financial distress. This more...
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|  | The 2020-2022 Inflation Surge Across Europe: A Phillips-Curve-Based Dissection Author/Editor: Chikako Baba, Romain A Duval, Ting Lan, Petia Topalova. Release Date:February, 2023 In 2021-22, inflation in Europe soared to multidecade highs, consistently exceeding policymakers' forecasts and surprising with its wide cross-country dispersion. This paper analyzes the key drivers more...
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|  | Cars in Europe: Supply Chains and Spillovers during COVID-19 Times Author/Editor: Vizhdan Boranova, Raju Huidrom, Ezgi O Ozturk, Ara Stepanyan, Petia Topalova, Shihangyin (Frank) Zhang. Release Date:January, 2022 The auto sector is macro-critical in many European countries and constitutes one of the main supply chains in the region. Using a multi-sector and multi-country general equilibrium model, this paper more...
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|  | Infrastructure in Central, Eastern, and Southeastern Europe : Benchmarking, Macroeconomic Impact, and Policy Issues Author/Editor: Anil Ari, David Bartolini, Vizhdan Boranova, Gabriel Di Bella, Kamil Dybczak, Keiko Honjo, Raju Huidrom, Andreas Jobst, Nemanja Jovanovic, Ezgi O Ozturk, Laura Papi, Sergio Sola, Michelle Stone, Petia Topalova. Release Date:September, 2020 CESEE countries lag in terms of infrastructure compared to the EU15, and deficient infrastructure is often cited as a constraint to growth and convergence. Investing in infrastructure is therefore an more...
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|  | Wage Growth and Inflation in Europe: A Puzzle? Author/Editor: Vizhdan Boranova, Raju Huidrom, Sylwia Nowak, Petia Topalova, Volodymyr Tulin, Richard Varghese. Release Date:December, 2019 Wages have been rising faster than productivity in many European countries for the past few years, yet signs of underlying consumer price pressures remain limited. To shed light on this puzzle, this more...
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|  | Weather Shocks and Output in Low-Income Countries: The Role of Policies and Adaptation Author/Editor: Sebastian Acevedo Mejia, Claudio Baccianti, Mico Mrkaic, Natalija Novta, Evgenia Pugacheva, Petia Topalova. Release Date:August, 2019 We explore the extent to which macroeconomic policies, structural policies, and institutions can mitigate the negative relationship between temperature shocks and output in countries with warm more...
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|  | The Price of Capital Goods: A Driver of Investment Under Threat Author/Editor: Weicheng Lian, Natalija Novta, Evgenia Pugacheva, Yannick Timmer, Petia Topalova. Release Date:June, 2019 Over the past three decades, the price of machinery and equipment fell dramatically relative to other prices in advanced and emerging market and developing economies. Using cross-country and sectoral more...
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|  | Drivers of Labor Force Participation in Advanced Economies: Macro and Micro Evidence Author/Editor: Francesco Grigoli, Zsoka Koczan, Petia Topalova. Release Date:June, 2018 Despite significant headwinds from population aging in most advanced economies (AEs), labor force participation rates show remarkably divergent trajectories both across countries and across more...
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|  | The Effects of Weather Shocks on Economic Activity: What are the Channels of Impact? Author/Editor: Sebastian Acevedo Mejia, Mico Mrkaic, Natalija Novta, Evgenia Pugacheva, Petia Topalova. Release Date:June, 2018 Global temperatures have increased at an unprecedented pace in the past 40 years. This paper finds that increases in temperature have uneven macroeconomic effects, with adverse consequences more...
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|  | A Cohort-Based Analysis of Labor Force Participation for Advanced Economies Author/Editor: Francesco Grigoli, Zsoka Koczan, Petia Topalova. Release Date:May, 2018 Advanced economies are in the midst of a major demographic transition, with the number of elderly rising precipitously relative to the working-age population. Yet, despite the acceleration in more...
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