 | Fragmentation in Global Trade: Accounting for Commodities Author/Editor: Marijn A Bolhuis, Jiaqian Chen, Benjamin R Kett. Release Date:March, 2023 We construct a new database which covers production and trade in 136 primary commodities and 24 manufacturing and service sectors for 145 countries. Using this new more granular data, we estimate more...
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 | Geoeconomic Fragmentation and the Future of Multilateralism Author/Editor: Shekhar Aiyar, Jiaqian Chen, Christian H Ebeke, Roberto Garcia-Saltos, Tryggvi Gudmundsson, Anna Ilyina, Alvar Kangur, Tansaya Kunaratskul, Sergio L Rodriguez, Michele Ruta, Tatjana Schulze, Gabriel Soderberg, Juan P Trevino. Release Date:January, 2023 After several decades of increasing global economic integration, the world is facing the risk of policy-driven geoeconomic fragmentation (GEF). This note explores the ramifications. It identifies more...
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| Biases in Survey Inflation Expectations: Evidence from the Euro Area Author/Editor: Jiaqian Chen, Lucyna Gornicka, Vaclav Zdarek. Release Date:September, 2022 This paper documents five facts about inflation expectations in the euro area. First, individual inflation forecasts overreact to individual news. Second, the cross-section average of individual more...
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| Effective Fiscal-Monetary Interactions in Severe Recessions Author/Editor: Jiaqian Chen, Raphael A Espinoza, Carlos Goncalves, Tryggvi Gudmundsson, Martina Hengge, Zoltan Jakab, Jesper Lindé. Release Date:September, 2022 The COVID-19 pandemic and the subsequent need for policy support have called the traditional separation between fiscal and monetary policies into question. Based on simulations of an open economy more...
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| EU Climate Mitigation Policy Author/Editor: Jiaqian Chen, Maksym Chepeliev, Daniel Garcia-Macia, Dora M Iakova, James Roaf, Anna Shabunina, Dominique van der Mensbrugghe, Philippe Wingender. Release Date:September, 2020 This paper aims to contribute to the debate on the choice of policies to reach the more ambitious 2030 emission reduction goals currently under consideration. It provides an analysis of the more...
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| The Costs of Macroprudential Deleveraging in a Liquidity Trap Author/Editor: Jiaqian Chen, Daria Finocchiaro, Jesper Lindé, Karl Walentin. Release Date:June, 2020 We examine the effects of various borrower-based macroprudential tools in a New Keynesian environment where both real and nominal interest rates are low. Our model features long-term debt, housing more...
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| Measuring Output Gap: Is It Worth Your Time? Author/Editor: Jiaqian Chen, Lucyna Gornicka. Release Date:February, 2020 We apply a range of models to the U.K. data to obtain estimates of the output gap. A structural VAR with an appropriate identification strategy provides improved estimates of output gap with better more...
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| Bank Balance Sheets and the Value of Lending Author/Editor: Jiaqian Chen, Giuseppe Vera. Release Date:May, 2017 We study 1,400 UK syndicated loans, together with the financial history of the lead bank and the borrowing firm. We interpret abnormal equity returns around loan announcements as the value of the more...
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| Macroprudential and Monetary Policy Interactions in a DSGE Model for Sweden Author/Editor: Jiaqian Chen, Francesco Columba. Release Date:March, 2016 We analyse the effects of macroprudential and monetary policies and their interactions using
 an estimated dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model tailored to Sweden.
 more...
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 | Consequences of Asset Shortages in Emerging Markets Author/Editor: Jiaqian Chen, Patrick A. Imam. Release Date:April, 2012 We assess econometrically the impact of asset shortages on economic growth, asset bubbles, the probability of a crisis, and the current account for a group of 41 Emerging markets for 1995-2008. The more...
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