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Constructing Forecast Confidence Bands During the Financial Crisis

Author/Editor: Kevin Clinton, Marianne Johnson, Huigang Chen, Ondrej Kamenik, Douglas Laxton.

Release Date:September, 2009

We derive forecast confidence bands using a Global Projection Model covering the United States, the euro area, and Japan. In the model, the price of oil is a stochastic process, interest rates have a more...



Price: $18.00
Simple, Implementable Fiscal Policy Rules

Author/Editor: Michael Kumhof, Douglas Laxton.

Release Date:April, 2009

This paper analyzes the scope for systematic rules-based fiscal activism in open economies. Relative to a balanced budget rule, automatic stabilizers significantly improve welfare. But they minimize more...



Price: $18.00
Why Inflation Targeting?

Author/Editor: Charles Freedman, Douglas Laxton.

Release Date:April, 2009

This is the second chapter of a forthcoming monograph entitled On Implementing Full-Fledged Inflation-Targeting Regimes: Saying What You Do and Doing What You Say. We begin by discussing the costs more...



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It Framework Design Parameters

Author/Editor: Douglas Laxton, Charles Freedman.

Release Date:April, 2009

This is the third chapter of a forthcoming monograph entitled On Implementing Full-Fledged Inflation-Targeting Regimes: Saying What You Do and Doing What You Say. It examines a number of elements more...



Price: $18.00
Chile’s Structural Fiscal Surplus Rule : A Model-Based Evaluation

Author/Editor: Michael Kumhof, Douglas Laxton.

Release Date:April, 2009

The paper analyzes Chile's structural balance fiscal rule in the face of copper price shocks originating in foreign copper demand. It uses a version of the IMF's Global Integrated Monetary and Fiscal more...



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The Case for Global Fiscal Stimulus

Author/Editor: Jaewoo Lee, Douglas Laxton, Michael Kumhof, Charles Freedman.

Release Date:March, 2009



Price: $10.00
Developing a Structured Forecasting and Policy Analysis System to Support Inflation-Forecast Targeting (IFT)

Author/Editor: Douglas Laxton, Alasdair Scott, David Rose.

Release Date:March, 2009

This paper presents a basic plan for developing a Forecast and Policy Analysis System designed to support an inflation-forecast targeting regime at a central bank. It includes discussion of the more...



Price: $18.00
A Small Quarterly Projection Model of the US Economy

Author/Editor: Igor Ermolaev, Michel Juillard, Ioan Carabenciov, Charles Freedman, Douglas Laxton, Ondrej Kamenik, Dmitry Korshunov.

Release Date:December, 2008

This is the first of a series of papers that are being written as part of a project to estimate a small quarterly Global Projection Model (GPM). The GPM project is designed to improve the toolkit for more...



Price: $18.00
A Small Quarterly Multi-Country Projection Model

Author/Editor: Jared Laxton, Igor Ermolaev, Charles Freedman, Ondrej Kamenik, Michel Juillard, Douglas Laxton, Ioan Carabenciov, Dmitry Korshunov.

Release Date:December, 2008

This is the second of a series of papers that are being written as part of a larger project to estimate a small quarterly Global Projection Model (GPM). The GPM project is designed to improve the more...



Price: $18.00
A Small Quarterly Multi-Country Projection Model with Financial-Real Linkages and Oil Prices

Author/Editor: Michel Juillard, Charles Freedman, Dmitry Korshunov, Douglas Laxton, Ondrej Kamenik, Ioan Carabenciov, Igor Ermolaev, Jared Laxton.

Release Date:December, 2008

This is the third of a series of papers that are being written as part of a larger project to estimate a small quarterly Global Projection Model (GPM). The GPM project is designed to improve the more...



Price: $18.00
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