 | Is Unemployment on Steroids in Advanced Economies? Author/Editor: Gabriel Di Bella, Francesco Grigoli, Francisco Ramirez. Release Date:July, 2018 Despite conventional macroeconomic theory is based on the idea that demand shocks can only have temporary effects on unemployment, several European economies display highly persistent unemployment more...
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| Drivers of Labor Force Participation in Advanced Economies: Macro and Micro Evidence Author/Editor: Francesco Grigoli, Zsoka Koczan, Petia Topalova. Release Date:June, 2018 Despite significant headwinds from population aging in most advanced economies (AEs), labor force participation rates show remarkably divergent trajectories both across countries and across more...
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| A Cohort-Based Analysis of Labor Force Participation for Advanced Economies Author/Editor: Francesco Grigoli, Zsoka Koczan, Petia Topalova. Release Date:May, 2018 Advanced economies are in the midst of a major demographic transition, with the number of elderly rising precipitously relative to the working-age population. Yet, despite the acceleration in more...
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| Optimism, Pessimism, and Short-Term Fluctuations Author/Editor: Gabriel Di Bella, Francesco Grigoli. Release Date:January, 2018 Economic theory offers several explanations as to why shifting expectations about future economic activity affect current demand. Abstracting from whether changes in expectations originate from more...
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| Fiscal Federalism and Regional Performance Author/Editor: Gabriel Di Bella, Oksana Dynnikova, Francesco Grigoli. Release Date:November, 2017 Sound regional policies are essential for balanced and sustained economic growth. The
interaction of federal and regional policies with cross-regional structural differences affect human and more...
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| Fear Thy Neighbor: Spillovers from Economic Policy Uncertainty Author/Editor: Nina Biljanovska, Francesco Grigoli, Martina Hengge. Release Date:November, 2017 High levels of economic policy uncertainty in various parts of the world revamped the de-
bate about its impact on economic activity. With increasingly stronger economic, financial,
more...
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| A Crude Shock : Explaining the Impact of the 2014-16 Oil Price Decline Across Exporters Author/Editor: Francesco Grigoli, Alexander Herman, Andrew J Swiston. Release Date:July, 2017 The decline in oil prices in 2014-16 was one of the sharpest in history, and put to test the
resilience of oil exporters. We examine the degree to which economic fundamentals entering
the more...
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| Inequality Overhang Author/Editor: Francesco Grigoli, Adrian Robles. Release Date:March, 2017 The linearity of the relationship between income inequality and economic development has
been long questioned. While theory provides arguments for which the shape of relationship
may be more...
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| Inequality and Growth : A Heterogeneous Approach Author/Editor: Francesco Grigoli, Evelio Paredes, Gabriel Di Bella. Release Date:December, 2016 The combination of stagnant growth and high levels of income inequality renewed the debate about whether a more even distribution of income can spur economic activity. This paper tests for more...
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| Macro-Financial Linkages and Heterogeneous Non-Performing Loans Projections : An Application to Ecuador Author/Editor: Francesco Grigoli, Mario Mansilla, Martín Saldías. Release Date:December, 2016 We propose a stress testing framework of credit risk, which analyzes macro-financial linkages, generates consistent forecasts of macro-financial variables, and projects non-performing loans (NPL) on more...
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