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Inflation News and Euro Area Inflation Expectations

Author/Editor: Juan Angel Garcia, Sebastian Werner.

Release Date:July, 2018

Do euro area inflation expectations remain well-anchored? This paper finds that the protracted period of low (and below-target) inflation in the euro area since 2013 has weakened their anchoring. more...



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Is the Cycle the Trend? Evidence From the Views of International Forecasters

Author/Editor: John C Bluedorn, Daniel Leigh.

Release Date:July, 2018

We revisit the conventional view that output fluctuates around a stable trend by analyzing professional long-term forecasts for 38 advanced and emerging market economies. If transitory deviations more...



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Fundamental Drivers of House Prices in Advanced Economies

Author/Editor: Nan Geng.

Release Date:July, 2018

House prices in many advanced economies have risen substantially in recent decades. But experience indicates that housing prices can diverge from their long-run equilibrium or sustainable levels, more...



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Still Attached? Are Social Safety Nets Working? Labor Force Participation in European Regions

Author/Editor: Benjamin Hilgenstock, Zsoka Koczan.

Release Date:July, 2018

The paper examines the evolution and drivers of labor force participation in European regions, focusing on the effects of trade and technology. As in the United States, rural regions within European more...



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Tax Spillovers from US Corporate Income Tax Reform

Author/Editor: Sebastian Beer, Alexander D Klemm, Thornton Matheson.

Release Date:July, 2018

This paper describes, and where possible tentatively quantifies, likely tax spillovers from the U.S. corporate income tax reform that was part of the broader 2017 tax reform. It calculates effective more...



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Housing Price, Credit, and Output Cycles: How Domestic and External Shocks Impact Lithuania's Credit

Author/Editor: Iacovos Ioannou.

Release Date:July, 2018

Lithuania’s current credit cycle highlights the strong link between housing prices and credit. We explore this relationship in more detail by analyzing the main features of credit, housing price, more...



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Investment Slowdown in Denmark: Diagnosis and Policy Options

Author/Editor: Tigran Poghosyan.

Release Date:July, 2018

Total investment in Denmark has experienced a sharp slowdown following the global financial crisis. This slowdown has coincided with a decline in labor productivity and expansion of the current more...



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Bank Network Analysis in the ECCU

Author/Editor: Balazs Csonto, Alejandro D Guerson, Alla Myrvoda, Emefa Sewordor.

Release Date:July, 2018

This paper applies network analysis to assess the extent of systemic vulnerabilities in the ECCU banking system. It includes two sets of illustrative stress tests. First, solvency and liquidity more...



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Who Pays for Financial Crises? Price and Quantity Rationing of Different Borrowers by Domestic and Foreign Banks

Author/Editor: Allen N Berger, Tanakorn Makaew, Rima Turk-Ariss.

Release Date:July, 2018

Financial crises result in price and quantity rationing of otherwise creditworthy business borrowers, but little is known about the relative severity of these two types of rationing, which borrowers more...



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Losing to Blackouts: Evidence from Firm Level Data

Author/Editor: Daniel Gurara, Dawit Tessema.

Release Date:July, 2018

Many developing economies are often hit by electricity crises either because of supply constraints or lacking in broader energy market reforms. This study uses manufacturing firm census data from more...



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