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Thou Shalt Not Breach: The Impact on Sovereign Spreads of Noncomplying with the EU Fiscal Rules

Author/Editor: Federico Diaz Kalan, Adina Popescu, Julien Reynaud.

Release Date:April, 2018

There is evidence that fiscal rules, in particular well-designed rules, are associated with lower sovereign spreads. However, the impact of noncompliance with fiscal rules on spreads has not been more...



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Intergovernmental Fiscal Reform in China

Author/Editor: Philippe Wingender.

Release Date:April, 2018

China is the most decentralized country in the world in terms of expenditures shares, with subnational governments responsible for 85 percent of government spending. Limited revenue autonomy and more...



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Stabilizing China’s Housing Market

Author/Editor: Richard Koss, Xinrui Shi.

Release Date:April, 2018

The sharp rise of house prices in China’s Tier-1 cities has fostered a great deal of commentary about the possibility of bubbles forming there. However, China’s unique housing market more...



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An Estimated DSGE Model to Analyze Housing Market Policies in Hong Kong SAR

Author/Editor: Pau Rabanal.

Release Date:April, 2018

During the last decade, Hong Kong SAR has experienced a large increase in house prices and credit, prompting the authorities to respond with several rounds of tightening macroprudential rules and more...



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Decoupling of Emissions and GDP: Evidence from Aggregate and Provincial Chinese Data

Author/Editor: Gail Cohen, João Tovar Jalles, Prakash Loungani, Ricardo Marto, Gewei Wang.

Release Date:April, 2018

We provide a comprehensive analysis of the relationship between greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and GDP in China using both aggregate and provincial data. The Kuznets elasticity is about 0.6 for more...



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Economic Benefits of Export Diversification in Small States

Author/Editor: Arnold McIntyre, Mike Xin Li, Ke Wang, Hanlei Yun.

Release Date:April, 2018

The paper considers concepts of economic diversification with respect to exports (including service sectors) for small states. We assessed the economic performance of different groups of 34 small more...



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The Global Macrofinancial Model

Author/Editor: Francis Vitek.

Release Date:April, 2018

This paper documents the theoretical structure and empirical properties of the latest version of the Global Macrofinancial Model (GFM). This dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model of the world more...



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Policy Conflicts and Inflation Targeting: The Role of Credit Markets

Author/Editor: Woon Gyu Choi, David Cook.

Release Date:April, 2018

This paper shows that stabilizing volatility in credit growth often conflicts with price stability: unusual credit expansions often occur when inflation is low relative to goals, and credit slumps more...



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On the Impact of Structural Reforms on Output and Employment : Evidence from a Cross-country Firm-level Analysis

Author/Editor: Luiza Antoun de Almeida, Vybhavi Balasundharam.

Release Date:April, 2018

This paper analyzes the effects of selected structural reforms on output and employment in the short and medium term. It uses a comprehensive cross-country firm-level dataset covering both advanced more...



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A Primer on Managing Sovereign Debt-Portfolio Risks

Author/Editor: Thordur Jonasson, Michael G Papaioannou.

Release Date:April, 2018

This paper provides an overview of sovereign debt portfolio risks and discusses various liability management operations (LMOs) and instruments used by public debt managers to mitigate these risks. more...



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