| European Labor Markets and the COVID-19 Pandemic: Fallout and the Path Ahead Author/Editor: Sakai Ando, Ravi Balakrishnan, Bertrand Gruss, Jean-Jacques Hallaert, La-Bhus Fah Jirasavetakul, Koralai Kirabaeva, Nir Klein, Ana Lariau, Lucy Qian Liu, Davide Malacrino, Haonan Qu, Alexandra Solovyeva. Release Date:March, 2022 In 2020, the COVID-19 pandemic caused by far the largest shock to European economies since World War II. Yet, astonishingly, the EU unemployment rate had already declined to its pre-crisis level by more...
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| Monetary Policy Surprises and Inflation Expectation Dispersion Author/Editor: Bertrand Gruss, Sandra Lizarazo, Francesco Grigoli. Release Date:November, 2020 Anchoring of inflation expectations is of paramount importance for central banks’ ability to deliver stable inflation and minimize price dispersion. Relying on daily interest rates and inflation more...
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| Exiting from Lockdowns: Early Evidence from Reopenings in Europe Author/Editor: Jeffrey R Franks, Bertrand Gruss, Carlos Mulas-Granados, Manasa Patnam, Sebastian Weber. Release Date:October, 2020 European authorities introduced stringent lockdown measures in early 2020 to reduce the transmission of COVID-19. As the first wave of infection curves flattened and the outbreak appeared controlled, more...
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| Domestic Amplifiers of External Shocks: Growth Accelerations and Reversals in Emerging Market and Developing Economies Author/Editor: Bertrand Gruss, Malhar S Nabar, Marcos Poplawski Ribeiro. Release Date:June, 2019 External conditions have been found to influence the tendency of emerging market and developing economies to experience episodes of growth accelerations and reversals. In this paper we study the role more...
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| Commodity Terms of Trade:A New Database Author/Editor: Bertrand Gruss, Suhaib Kebhaj. Release Date:January, 2019 This paper presents a comprehensive database of country-specific commodity price indices for 182 economies covering the period 1962-2018. For each country, the change in the international price of up more...
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| Growth Accelerations and Reversals in Emerging Market and Developing Economies: The Role of External Conditions Author/Editor: Bertrand Gruss, Malhar S Nabar, Marcos Poplawski-Ribeiro. Release Date:March, 2018 This paper investigates how country-specific external demand, external financial conditions,
and terms of trade affect medium-term growth in Emerging Market and Developing
Economies and more...
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| Disagreement about Future Inflation: Understanding the Benefits of Inflation Targeting and Transparency Author/Editor: Steve Brito, Yan Carriere-Swallow, Bertrand Gruss. Release Date:January, 2018 We estimate the determinants of disagreement about future inflation in a large and diverse
sample of countries, focusing on the role of monetary policy frameworks. We offer novel
insights more...
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| Monetary Policy Credibility and Exchange Rate Pass-Through Author/Editor: Yan Carriere-Swallow, Bertrand Gruss, Nicolas E Magud, Fabian Valencia. Release Date:December, 2016 A long-standing conjecture in macroeconomics is that recent declines in exchange rate pass-through are in part due to improved monetary policy performance. In a large sample of emerging and advanced more...
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| U.S. Monetary Policy Normalization and Global Interest Rates Author/Editor: Carlos Caceres, Yan Carriere-Swallow, Ishak Demir, Bertrand Gruss. Release Date:September, 2016 As the Federal Reserve continues to normalize its monetary policy, this paper studies the impact
of U.S. interest rates on rates in other countries. We find a modest but nontrivial more...
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| Global Financial Conditions and Monetary Policy Autonomy Author/Editor: Carlos Caceres, Yan Carriere-Swallow, Bertrand Gruss. Release Date:June, 2016 Is the Mundell-Fleming trilemma alive and well? International co-movement of asset prices takes place alongside synchronized business cycles, complicating the identification of financial spillovers more...
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